Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001748 0.001857 0.001970 0.002095 0.002230 0.002373 0.002534
2025-03-23 0.001575 0.001726 0.001889 0.002077 0.002290 0.002524 0.002801
2025-03-30 0.001458 0.001636 0.001833 0.002069 0.002345 0.002659 0.003047
2025-04-06 0.001355 0.001549 0.001769 0.002040 0.002365 0.002746 0.003232
2025-04-13 0.001267 0.001472 0.001708 0.002005 0.002371 0.002810 0.003386
2025-04-20 0.001173 0.001380 0.001623 0.001933 0.002323 0.002803 0.003446
2025-04-27 0.001136 0.001353 0.001614 0.001952 0.002387 0.002933 0.003684
2025-05-04 0.001114 0.001344 0.001623 0.001994 0.002478 0.003101 0.003979
2025-05-11 0.001102 0.001346 0.001646 0.002051 0.002592 0.003302 0.004330
2025-05-18 0.001074 0.001324 0.001638 0.002067 0.002650 0.003430 0.004586
2025-05-25 0.001025 0.001275 0.001591 0.002029 0.002632 0.003453 0.004691
2025-06-01 0.000986 0.001236 0.001556 0.002004 0.002630 0.003496 0.004827
2025-06-08 0.000953 0.001207 0.001536 0.002003 0.002667 0.003605 0.005080
2025-06-15 0.000915 0.001168 0.001501 0.001982 0.002675 0.003672 0.005276
2025-06-22 0.000884 0.001139 0.001478 0.001973 0.002700 0.003765 0.005517
2025-06-29 0.000848 0.001102 0.001442 0.001945 0.002694 0.003810 0.005685
2025-07-06 0.000814 0.001064 0.001404 0.001912 0.002679 0.003840 0.005828
2025-07-13 0.000770 0.001013 0.001344 0.001845 0.002608 0.003777 0.005811
2025-07-20 0.000756 0.001003 0.001343 0.001863 0.002668 0.003923 0.006159
2025-07-27 0.000750 0.001002 0.001355 0.001901 0.002761 0.004129 0.006624
2025-08-03 0.000748 0.001009 0.001377 0.001956 0.002882 0.004385 0.007202
2025-08-10 0.000735 0.000998 0.001374 0.001971 0.002939 0.004540 0.007604
2025-08-17 0.000709 0.000968 0.001339 0.001935 0.002912 0.004546 0.007728